Thursday, June 15, 2006

Close Guantanamo

It's time. Long past time, in fact. And not because of last week's suicides, but because the treatment of detainees at Guantanamo is both immoral and impolitic.

UK Constitutional Affairs Minister Harriet Harman told the BBC on Sunday the camp should be moved to the US or shut down: "If it's perfectly legal and there's nothing going wrong there--well, why don't they have it in America and then the American court system can supervise it?"

Good question.

The use of Guantanamo as a sort of legal black hole has done enough to tarnish the United States' reputation, but statements by U.S. government officials all too often make matters worse. As an Australian news program reported, the response to the suicides at Guantanamo from former Pepperdine School of Law professor and current Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy Colleen Graffy was quite impolitic:

COLLEEN GRAFFY: They don't value their own life, and they certainly don't value ours, and they use suicide bombings as a tactic to further their jihadi cause. There were means and methods for protestation, and certainly taking their own lives was not necessary. But it certainly is a good PR move to draw attention.

MICHAEL ROWLAND: What makes the remarks even more glaring is that Colleen Graffy's job at the State Department is formulating strategies to improve America's image overseas, especially in Islamic countries.

In Taming American Power, Stephen Walt notes that the deligitimization of American policies can pose problems for the United States' efforts to act in the world. But surely perceptions of legitimacy can't really matter when the United States is powerful enough to impose its will on other states, can they? Walt states (p. 176):

This view is an article of faith among advocates of a muscular U.S. foreign policy that pays scant heed to the opinions of others. It is also dangerously shortsighted. As many commentators have noted, even the world's strongest superpower cannot go it alone in every arena. In virtually every important policy realm, in fact--international trade, counterterrorism, human rights, nonproliferation, dealing with failed states or global environmental problems, and so on--effective solutions will require global cooperation.

The world pays attention when American officials speak, but it also watches carefully what the United States does. It's time to close Guantanamo.

Tuesday, June 13, 2006

Fighting Evil

"As soon as men decide that all means are permitted to fight an evil, then their good becomes indistinguishable from the evil that they set out to destroy."
--Christopher Dawson, The Judgment of the Nations (1942)

Monday, June 12, 2006

Taming American Power

Along with Karen Armstrong's The Battle for God and Jonathan D. Spence's Mao Zedong (a brief Penguin Lives biography), I'm currently reading Taming American Power: The Global Response to U.S. Primacy by Stephen M. Walt. It is a very good analysis of the problems posed by the United States' post-Cold War position in the world. It reminds me that, for all of its limitations, realism has much to recommend it as a framework for the analysis of foreign policy. Walt's book is also a reminder, however, that modern realism involves much more than power politics. It borrows a good deal, in fact, from the post-World War II liberal internationalism with which it was engaged in the "Great Debate" of the 1950s and 1960s. Power politics may be central to Walt's analysis, but questions about American values appear over and over again in the book.

Saturday, June 10, 2006

More Questions about Zarqawi

In a comment here, there are several questions about Zarqawi's death and the reaction it provoked (or, perhaps, failed to provoke). The first question is, what difference does it make whether Zarqawi was al-Qaeda or not?

Here's what difference it makes: The United States entered the war in Iraq under false pretenses. (To call it an "intelligence failure"--as some persist in doing--is to ignore inconvenient facts just as the Bush administration did when the choice for war was made.) One of the falsehoods was that the U.S. would be fighting al-Qaeda in Iraq. In fact, soon after the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan (and in large measure as a result of operations there), al-Qaeda became something quite different than it had been prior to 9/11. Most experts believe that al-Qaeda became more significant as an idea--an inspiration of sorts for jihadists--than as an organization. (See this September 2004 post.) It spawned imitators and, under the pressure of American military operations against it, it metastasized. It would have been more honest of the Bush administration in 2002 and 2003 to have said that, thanks to American successes in Afghanistan, al-Qaeda no longer exists as the kind of threat it once was. To have said that, however, would have been to abandon one of the secondary rationales for the war in Iraq. (The WMD threat was always primary.) It also would have necessitated more candor about the real nature of global terrorism in the post-9/11 world. It is not, after all, very comforting to think that our successes against al-Qaeda may have made the threat of global terrorism more amorphous and, consequently, more difficult to address.

So what difference does it make? Quite a lot if the truth matters where the war in Iraq is concerned. Supporters of the Bush administration (and the administration itself, of course) needed to call Zarqawi a high-level al-Qaeda operative in order to promote the fiction that the United States went into Iraq to fight al-Qaeda. Supporters of Zarqawi (and Zarqawi himself) needed to adopt the al-Qaeda brand in order to inflate their own importance. The evidence we have available indicates that Zarqawi called his organization "Al-Qaeda in Mesopotamia" because he was inspired by bin Laden's organization, not because he was part of it. Zarqawi was a knockoff, like a "Rolex" watch manufactured in China.

The second and third questions are these: "Why is it that those who oppose the war reflexively downplay any news of progress? Can't you oppose the war and also admit when there is progress and be glad for it?"

Just as bad things can happen in a just war, good things can happen in an unjust war. It is a good thing that Zarqawi is gone, just as it is a good thing that Saddam Hussein sits in prison. It is a good thing that the U.S. transferred sovereignty to the Iraqis, that the Iraqis have had elections with widespread participation, and that a government has been installed. (This is not presented as an exhaustive list of good things that have happened in Iraq, of course.) Those of us who oppose the war are very much aware of the successes that have occurred along the way. Every opponent of the war whom I have talked to or whose views I have read hopes that, in spite of the problems with the war, Iraq will become peaceful and democratic, that is, that this enterprise, however misbegotten, will succeed. Having said that, there are a wide variety of views (even among those who initially supported the war) regarding what the United States should do now. Those who support an immediate withdrawal have concluded that withdrawal is simply the lesser evil. One can certainly disagree with this prescription, but one cannot honestly conclude that those who support withdrawal are hoping for failure.

It is a good thing that Zarqawi will never again plot, propagandize, or kill. But does his death represent a turning point in the war? Not even the Bush administration is making that claim this time around.

If I, like many other opponents of this war, fail to express much gladness over Zarqawi's death, it may be due to a certain skepticism regarding the ultimate significance of the event. That skepticism, sadly, is a consequence of paying attention to what the Bush administration has said all along about Iraq. (Remember "Mission Accomplished"?)

In The City of God, Augustine argued that peace "is the purpose of waging war. . . . What, then, men want in war is that it should end in peace." Killing a terrorist such as Abu Musab al-Zarqawi in a war may be a necessary evil, but it is an evil nonetheless. (See On Killing by Dave Grossman for some understanding of what killing does to the one who kills.) The only thing any of us should be glad about in war is the peace that ends it.

Questions about Zarqawi

New York Times reporters Dexter Filkins and John Burns seem to have some of the same questions I had after seeing the photograph of Zarqawi and hearing that the house where he had died was hit by two 500-pound bombs:

On Saturday morning, the bodies were gone, including the body of a girl. The rubble had been picked over for the most useful bits of intelligence. Even the crater [originally 40 feet wide and deep] had been mostly bulldozed and filled in.

Along with the scraps, it was mostly questions that remained.

Chief among them was how Mr. Zarqawi, the terrorist leader killed Wednesday in the airstrike, could have survived for even a few minutes after the attack, as American officers say he did, when everything else around him was obliterated. Concrete blocks, walls, a fence, tin cans, palm trees, a washing machine: everything at the Hibhib scene was shredded or blown to pieces.

It seemed puzzling, too, given the destruction and the condition of the other bodies, how Mr. Zarqawi's head and upper body--shown on televisions across the world--could have remained largely intact.

This, it seems to me, is more a matter of curiosity than something that possesses great significance, but it will be interesting to see what additional information is forthcoming, particularly after the autopsy has been completed.

Thursday, June 08, 2006

Jay Leno on the GOP Agenda

"Republican leaders say that after illegal immigration and gay marriage, the next issue President Bush will tackle: flag burning. . . . So if you're an illegal immigrant who's crossing our border to burn the flag at your gay wedding, we got your number."

"Do we need a constitutional amendment? Is that the most important issue facing the country today--gay marriage? We were off last week, so apparently we must have caught bin Laden."

Zarqawi's Death

Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, whom the U.S. Government claimed was al-Qaeda's leader in Iraq, has been killed by American forces near Baquba. According to the military briefing, Zarqawi was killed by bombs dropped by American F-16s. An eyewitness, however, maintained that a firefight occurred in or around Zarqawi's safe house before the bombs were dropped. Furthermore, a photo of Zarqawi's face showed remarkably little trauma for someone whose house had been targeted by two 500-pound bombs.

More important than how Zarqawi died is what difference his death will make. Here's Juan Cole's assessment:

There is no evidence of operational links between [Zarqawi's] Salafi Jihadis in Iraq and the real al-Qaeda; it was just a sort of branding that suited everyone, including the US. Official US spokesmen have all along over-estimated his importance. Leaders are significant and not always easily replaced. But Zarqawi has in my view has been less important than local Iraqi leaders and groups. I don't expect the guerrilla war to subside any time soon.

Even Donald Rumsfeld acknowledged that Zarqawi's death would not end the insurgency: "Given the nature of the terrorist networks, really a network of networks, the death of Zarqawi, while enormously important, will not mean the end of all violence in that country."

Meanwhile, in a poll conducted immediately before the announcement of Zarqawi's death, President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq was given its lowest approval rating yet.

Wednesday, June 07, 2006

Bolton vs. Brown

UN Deputy Secretary-General Mark Malloch Brown has drawn the ire of John Bolton over a speech delivered to the Century Foundation and Center for American Progress Security and Peace Initiative yesterday in New York City.

Brown's speech was presented " as a sincere and constructive critique of US policy towards the UN by a friend and admirer." The central point of the critique was that "the prevailing practice of seeking to use the UN almost by stealth as a diplomatic tool while failing to stand up for it against its domestic critics is simply not sustainable." After noting Government Accountability Office and Rand Corporation studies that have found UN peacekeeping to be a cost-effective means of promoting international stability, Brown stated, "Yet for many policymakers and opinion leaders in Washington, let alone the general public, the roles I have described are hardly believed or, where they are, remain discreetly underplayed. To acknowledge an America reliant on international institutions is not perceived to be good politics at home." That, of course, is exactly right.

Does the UN matter? Brown argues that it does:

The US--like every nation, strong and weak alike--is today beset by problems that defy national, inside-the-border solutions: climate change, terrorism, nuclear proliferation, migration, the management of the global economy, the internationalization of drugs and crime, the spread of diseases such as HIV and avian flu. Today’s new national security challenges basically thumb their noses at old notions of national sovereignty. Security has gone global, and no country can afford to neglect the global institutions needed to manage it.

Kofi Annan has proposed a restructuring of the UN to respond to these new challenges with three legs: development, security and human rights supported, like any good chair, by a fourth leg, reformed management. That is the UN we want to place our bet on. But for it to work, we need the US to support this agenda--and support it not just in a whisper but in a coast to coast shout that pushes back the critics domestically and wins over the sceptics internationally. America’s leaders must again say the UN matters.

On the whole, Brown's analysis is on target, which is probably why Secretary-General Kofi Annan declined to distance himself from the speech as Ambassador Bolton demanded. Not surprisingly, Bolton ("Ann Coulter with a moustache," according to a comment here) was left fulminating in a way that very precisely demonstrated Brown's main points.

Sunday, June 04, 2006

Haditha, Briefly

I've had little opportunity to post lately, but the matter of possible war crimes committed by Americans in Iraq deserves some attention. For now, this brief editorial from The Nation is a good place to start regarding Haditha. I hope to have a chance to say more on this subject soon.

Wednesday, May 31, 2006

Memory, Memorial, and Myth

When those who can remember have all died, we must move from memory to memorial. Memorial is the institutionalization of memory. It succeeds to the extent that it provides symbols that can call to mind what cannot possibly be remembered (because it was never experienced by those left to "remember"). But, whether deliberately or not, the symbols that are designed to create memories of things we have not experienced often engage myths. That is, memorials often mythologize their subjects.

This is an issue for theologians, certainly, but it is also an issue for political scientists--and their assistants, the historians. It is not enough to know--to call to mind--what happened on the Field of Blackbirds in 1389; one also needs to know what has been made of the battle in modern Serbian consciousness. It is not enough to know something of what transpired aboard United Flight 93 on September 11, 2001; one must also know how that event is being mythologized in the United States.

I'm late with this commentary on Memorial Day, but James Carroll was not, and he touched on some of these things I've been thinking about.

Friday, May 26, 2006

What Is History?

"History is the sum total of things that could have been avoided."

--Konrad Adenauer (Chancellor of West Germany, 1949-1963)

Wednesday, May 24, 2006

Sgt. Cardona's Trial

U.S. Army Sgt. Santos Cardona is currently on trial at Fort Meade, Maryland for violations of the Uniform Code of Military Justice committed in his role as a dog handler during interrogations at the Abu Ghraib prison in Iraq. Hina Shamsi, an attorney for Human Rights First, is blogging the court martial here.

AI's Annual Report

Amnesty International Report 2006: The State of the World's Human Rights has been released. Among other findings, the document states that concerns about terrorism are being used by governments worldwide to justify human rights abuses. The organization noted in particular that the United States' outsourcing of military and intelligence functions to private companies "has helped create virtually rules-free zones sanctioned with the American flag and firepower," in the words of Larry Cox, AIUSA's new executive director.

The full report is available using the link above.

Tuesday, May 23, 2006

Frontline: Sex Slaves

The PBS program Frontline tonight aired a documentary on sex trafficking in Ukraine, Moldova, and Turkey. The personal stories of women who have been trafficked combined with footage from hidden cameras make this a very powerful report.

Unlike some Frontline stories, "Sex Slaves" is not available for viewing online. There is, however, a very good web site associated with the report located here.

The Year's Best (So Far)

Since I seem to be doing more reading than blogging lately, I thought I would post a list of books. Here--one per month--are the best books related to international politics that I've read this year.

May 2006
The Mighty & the Almighty: Reflections on America, God, and World Affairs
Madeleine Albright

April 2006
The Shield & the Cloak: The Security of the Commons
Gary Hart

March 2006
Illicit: How Smugglers, Traffickers, and Copycats are Hijacking the Global Economy
Moisés Naím

February 2006
The Assassins’ Gate: America in Iraq
George Packer

January 2006
Lawless World
Philippe Sands

Without a Trace of Irony

The president, responding to a question from an audience member, made an interesting statement in Chicago on Monday:

Bush said he would remind Western Hemisphere nations such as [Venezuela and Bolivia] that "respect for property rights and human rights is essential," that "meddling in other elections ... to achieve a short-term objective is not in the interests of the neighborhood," and that the United States expects other nations to stand against corruption and for transparent governance. "Let me just put it bluntly: I'm concerned about the erosion of democracy in" Venezuela and Bolivia, he said.

Bush did not address the recent recommendation of the UN Committee Against Torture that the United States close down its detention facilities in Guantanamo. Nor did he address the legality of the U.S. invasion of Iraq or its effects on "the interests of the neighborhood." He also failed to discuss the indictment and continuing investigation of members of his own administration as well as the corruption charges against Republican members of Congress.

But he did put it bluntly to the Venezuelans and the Bolivians.

Monday, May 22, 2006

Good News from Iraq

Democracies require more than individual freedom in order to thrive. They require social capital as well. Social capital--the complex network of interactions (particularly those that build trust) existing within a society--is the subject of Robert Putnam's well-known book Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community.

Social capital, Putnam suggests, is closely connected to expectations of reciprocity. A society thrives, and trust is built, if people come to expect that their contributions to the general welfare will be matched by those contributions made by others. I'll volunteer to coach a Little League team and feel good about doing it in part because I know that there are others who are volunteering to coach youth soccer teams and still others who are heading up the PTA or volunteering at the Boys and Girls Club and so on. There is, as an aspect of social capital, a norm of generalized reciprocity, not the form of reciprocity that requires a specific response to the initial contribution.

Churches, non-profit organizations, volunteer associations, and other manifestations of what we sometimes call "civil society" are important contributors to the social capital that is so important in a democracy. For this reason, the report that "now, more than three years after the American invasion, the outlines of a nascent civil society are taking shape" in Iraq comes as very welcome news.

According to the New York Times,

Since 2003 the [Iraqi] government has registered 5,000 private organizations, including charities, human rights groups, medical assistance agencies and literacy projects. Officials estimate that an additional 7,000 groups are working unofficially. The efforts show that even as violence and sectarian hatred tear Iraq's mixed cities apart, a growing number of Iraqis are trying to bring them together.

These private organizations are creating what Putnam calls "bridging social capital." While this is by no means the only thing necessary to create a democracy, it is significant. Perhaps even more encouraging is the fact that a robust civil society is something that the United States cannot impose on Iraq. It has to come from within, and apparently it is.

Of course, now we need to get those who are not interested in building Iraq's social capital to stop killing those who are.

Sunday, May 21, 2006

The Death of Yugoslavia

The title of this post is borrowed from an outstanding documentary produced by the BBC in 1995. The documentary was, however, released much too early to chronicle the final death of Yugoslavia.

States sometimes die a very slow death. In the case of Yugoslavia, the process of dissolution has taken fourteen years. However, the final step in the process may have occurred today as the people of Montenegro voted on a referendum to dissolve the federal union with Serbia.

Yugoslavia was created in the aftermath of World War I as the Kingdom of the Serbs, Croats and Slovenes. In 1929, in the midst of separatist violence, the state was renamed the Kingdom of Yugoslavia (that is, the Kingdom of the South Slavs). Military defeat led to the dissolution of the Kingdom during World War II, but a socialist Yugoslavia was established after the triumph over fascism in Eastern Europe.

The Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, ruled by Marshal Tito until his death in 1980, brought together six ethnically-based republics: Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia. Within Serbia, there were two autonomous regions--Kosovo and Vojvodina. Tito is generally credited with keeping separatist tendencies in check, in large measure because he was an effective dictator. In 1990-91, a combination of economic problems, resurgent nationalism, political manuevering, and many other factors led to a series of secessions by the constituent republics. Following the Balkan wars of the early 1990s, all that was left of Yugoslavia was a federation combining Serbia and Montenegro. The name "Yugoslavia" was dropped in 2001 as Serbia and Montenegro loosened their political ties.

Today, if at least 55 percent of Montenegrins voted for independence (as projections suggest they did), the last of Yugoslavia's constituent republics will have opted for secession from the old Serbian-dominated state.

Thursday, May 18, 2006

Teaching Iraqis How to Use Guns

"More than three years after the invasion, Iraq's future remains murky. Both in that country and in America, there is a sense that the coalition military--by its very presence--may be doing as much to unite and sustain the insurgency as to defeat it. Even training the Iraqi military and police could backfire if those forces do not give their loyalty to leaders who represent the whole country. There is a fine line, but a significant one, between creating a true national army and just teaching a lot of people who don't like each other how to use guns."

--Former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, The Mighty and the Almighty: Reflections on America, God, and World Affairs, p. 182

Wednesday, May 17, 2006

A "National Surveillance State"

Jack Balkin explains how the Bush administration's approach to the "war on terror" (including the use of torture, the suspension of habeas rights, and NSA surveillance) is creating a parallel legal universe outside the limits of our traditional civil liberties. It's something that all Americans should care about--not just the 71 percent who no longer support Bush.

But What About the Congressional Elections?

The last time we heard from the Secretary of Defense (and the time before that and the time before that . . .), he was telling us that we're just not hearing all of the good things that are happening in Iraq. Today he said, in effect, that things are going so well that American troops are going to stay indefinitely.

According to the Washington Post,

Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld said he cannot guarantee that there will be substantial withdrawals of U.S. troops from Iraq this year, and warned instead that leaving that country precipitously could create a sanctuary for al-Qaeda and other terrorists.

Rumsfeld told a Senate panel yesterday that he still hopes a big troop cut will occur this year but added, "I can't promise it."

Is it possible that Iraq might not be in danger of becoming a sanctuary for al-Qaeda if, instead of invading Iraq, the United States had focused for the past three years on destroying al-Qaeda?

"Control" of the Border?

Ivo Daalder has a brief but very useful comment regarding borders here.

Tuesday, May 16, 2006

London's Most Famous Taxi Driver

Guy Goma, a cab driver from the Congo, was mistakenly interviewed by a BBC reporter in place of IT expert Guy Kewney for a story on the court case involving an attempt by the Beatles' Apple Corp. to prevent Apple Computer from using their trademark apple symbol. The story, along with a link to the video, is available here.

[Via Matthew Gross.]

Monday, May 15, 2006

Flying Leap

The Guardian recently reported that the People's Republic of China is planning to build 48 new airports between now and 2010. Also underway are major expansions of passenger facilities at existing airports. A new terminal being constructed at Beijing's main airport will be the largest airport building in the world when completed.

To put matters in perspective, China has 489 airports compared to 14,893 in the United States, according to the CIA World Factbook. (Using different standards, the Guardian article reports that the new airport construction will bring the number of airports in China to 190.) Notwithstanding the gap, the resources being poured into civil aviation in China is indicative of an economic system that is (pardon the pun) taking off.

Saturday, May 13, 2006

Religion Meets Rights

In The Mighty and the Almighty: Reflections on America, God, and World Affairs, a just-published book on the role of religion in American foreign policy, former secretary of state Madeleine Albright writes (p. 289):

Respect for the rights and well-being of each individual is the place where religious faith and a commitment to political liberty have their closest connection. A philosophy based on this principle has the most potential to bring people from opposing viewpoints together because it excludes no one and yet demands from everyone full consideration of the ideas and needs of others.

Well stated.

Plot Summary

In order to escape crushing poverty caused by unjust economic structures and environmental degradation, ten people decide to leave their homes together in the hope of finding seasonal employment in California picking fruit and vegetables. Their journey takes them across a thousand miles of desert. Along the way, two members of the group die.

On arriving in California, the eight survivors encounter hostility from the locals. The Californians, some of whom are recent arrivals themselves, worry about being overrun by hordes of immigrants whose willingness to live and work in dehumanizing conditions calls into question their humanity. The immigrants are subjected to economic exploitation by their employers, harassment by the authorities, and violence at the hands of vigilantes. In the end, one of them decides to become a labor organizer in an effort to improve the lives of the many people who, like his own family, have come to California in the hope of finding a better life.

Is this the life story of Cesar Chavez? It could be, I suppose, but it also happens to be the plot line of The Grapes of Wrath an Academy Award-winning film I watched on DVD last night. John Ford’s film adaptation of the novel by John Steinbeck (starring Henry Fonda) depicts the Joad family’s migration from Oklahoma to California during the Great Depression. Today, in contrast, we would expect to see, perhaps, the Ruiz or Camacho family’s migration from Oaxaca to California.

There are some obvious differences between the Joad family's story and the stories of the many Mexican and Central American families that have come to the United States as economic refugees. The most important of the differences is the existence of an international border that is part of the journey in the latter case. But the difference between the state borders that Okies crossed while fleeing the Dust Bowl and the international borders that Latinos cross today to reach California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas may not be as significant as most people think. The Joads were stopped at state borders, primarily for agricultural inspections. (I remember as a boy being stopped at an agricultural inspection station on the border separating Texas and Arkansas and being asked--or hearing my father being asked--whether we were bringing any cotton into Arkansas.) By and large, states aren't doing much to protect their borders any more.

Internationally, borders are also becoming less significant. The United States has done a great deal to promote the free flow of capital, goods, and services across international borders. The free flow of labor has been important to globalization as well, but when it comes to the movement of people across borders, our government's free-market principles go out the window. It's hard, though, to tell those who want to see more consumer goods flowing across borders that those borders don't matter while simultaneously telling those who merely want an opportunity to cross a border in order to feed their children that those borders do matter.

With President Bush set to make a major address to the nation on the subject of immigration on Monday night, it’s not a bad time to see (or, better yet, read) The Grapes of Wrath.

(Incidentally, if you want to see a film about immigration that is currently in release, Stephen Colbert claims that Over the Hedge fills the bill. I haven't seen it, so I can't comment on Colbert's assertion that it is a thinly disguised allegory of the current immigration debate.)

Friday, May 12, 2006

Where the Users Are

Ten years ago, two-thirds of the world's Internet users were Americans. Today less than a fourth are Americans.

According to a story in Wednesday's International Herald Tribune, data from market research firm ComScore show the United States still has a substantial lead in the total number of Internet users even as its share of the world total is declining. The following list ranks countries by the total number of Internet users in March 2006.

  1. United States (152.1 million)
  2. China (74.7 million)
  3. Japan (52.1 million)
  4. Germany (31.8 million)
  5. United Kingdom (30.2 million)
  6. South Korea (24.7 million)
  7. France (23.9)

Tom Friedman would no doubt argue that this bit of information shows the world is becoming ever flatter.

[Via FP Passport.]

Thursday, May 11, 2006

Using Intelligence

“While normally foreign and military policy is based upon intelligence--that is, the objective assessment of the facts--the process is here [in Vietnam] reversed: a new policy has been decided upon, and intelligence must provide the facts to justify it.”

--Hans J. Morgenthau, 1965

(Quoted in Madeleine Albright, The Might and the Almighty, p. 34)

Wednesday, May 10, 2006

GITMO--"Unacceptable"

From the Guardian:

Lord Goldsmith, the attorney general, last night called for the immediate closure of Guantánamo Bay in the most full-blown attack on the US detention centre by a member of the government.

Going far further than cabinet ministers, notably Tony Blair, have done in their criticism, he described the existence of the camp on Cuba as "unacceptable".

Lord Goldsmith made his remarks at a conference on international terrorism in London.

Après Pierre?

Almost seven months after U.S. Ambassador-at-Large for War Crimes Issues Pierre-Richard Prosper resigned his post, no replacement has been nominated by the Bush administration. The Office of War Crimes Issues is currently headed by an interim director, Deputy Legal Adviser Samuel M. Witten.

Prosper, a Pepperdine School of Law graduate, resigned last October in order to return to California to make a run for the Republican party's nomination for state attorney general. Two days before the March 10 filing deadline, Prosper pulled out of the race citing his failure to raise sufficient funds for the primary campaign.

Why hasn't the Bush administration moved to replace Prosper? The initial decision to appoint an ambassador-at-large for war crimes issues was made at the insistence of Secretary of State Colin Powell. When Powell left State, the Office of War Crimes Issues lost its only supporter within the Bush administration. With Powell and Prosper gone, President Bush and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice will be quite content to let the Office of War Crimes Issues drop completely out of sight.

Tuesday, May 09, 2006

Election Results

The results are in for the first election to the new 47-member United Nations Human Rights Council. Cuba, the People's Republic of China, and Saudi Arabia each won a seat; Iran did not.

I'll be offering some analysis of the results later this week. Meanwhile, some discussion of the election is available in this wire service story.

Monday, May 08, 2006

World War III?

In a recent Wall Street Journal opinion piece, David Beamer, the father of United Flight 93 passenger Todd Beamer, called the storming of the cockpit of that flight "our first successful counterattack in our homeland in this new global war--World War III." President Bush told a CNBC interviewer this past Friday that he agrees. "I believe that," he said. "I believe that it was the first counter-attack to World War III."

It wasn't the President's first time to allude to the "global war on terror" in these grandiose terms. Last June, in a speech at Fort Bragg, North Carolina defending his administration's handling of the war in Iraq, President Bush said,

Some wonder whether Iraq is a central front in the war on terror. Among the terrorists, there is no debate. Hear the words of Osama Bin Laden: "This Third World War is raging" in Iraq. "The whole world is watching this war." He says it will end in "victory and glory, or misery and humiliation."

One has to wonder about the wisdom of agreeing with Osama bin Laden on this (or any other) point. Bin Laden calls the conflict in Iraq the "Third World War" and President Bush says, in effect, "See? The terrorists are calling this World War III." His endorsement of bin Laden's label comes in the context of a speech designed to bolster support for a war that is not going well. Then, almost eleven months later and still with no end to the war in Iraq in sight, he adopts the "World War III" label as his own. The terrorists' war is our war.

Except it's not.

No state should ever concede to terrorists the right to call their methods warfare. Some who employ terror may, on occasion, have objectives worthy of war, but their methods are crimes, not acts of war. It would have been far better if the "war on terrorism" language had been shelved in favor of a consistent policy of calling terrorists "criminals."

On top of this, there's the additional (and very consequential) fact that rhetorically increasing the stakes by using a label like "World War III" is probably not wise when terrorists can plausibly claim to be holding their own against the world's only remaining superpower.

Summer Reading

When the semester ends and the summer stretches out before me, I tend to plunge into several books at once. That way different authors can vie for my attention. The best book is generally the one I finish first, although staggered starts often affect the order of the finish.

Here are the books I'm reading now (in the order in which I expect to finish them):

  1. Myths America Lives By by Richard T. Hughes
  2. The Illustrated Jesus Through the Centuries by Jaroslav Pelikan
  3. The Mighty and the Almighty: Reflections on America, God, and World Affairs by Madeleine Albright
  4. American Theocracy: The Peril and Politics of Radical Religion, Oil, and Borrowed Money in the 21st Century by Kevin Phillips

The books I look forward to reading at some point this summer include:

  • The Case for Goliath: How America Acts as the World's Government in the 21st Century by Michael Mandelbaum
  • Cosmopolitanism: Ethics in a World of Strangers by Kwame Anthony Appiah
  • American Prometheus: The Triumph and Tragedy of J. Robert Oppenheimer by Kai Bird and Martin J. Sherwin
  • House of War by James Carroll
  • Mao Zedong by Jonathan Spence
  • Conscience and Power: An Examination of Dirty Hands and Political Leadership by Stephen Garrett
  • Bury the Chains: Prophets and Rebles in the Fight to Free an Empire's Slaves by Adam Hochschild

Stayed tuned for excerpts and reviews throughout the summer.

Sunday, May 07, 2006

Apologies

Two years ago this weekend, President Bush apologized for the humiliation suffered by prisoners at Abu Ghraib. Speaking to reporters in the Rose Garden with King Abdullah of Jordan, President Bush said, "I told him [King Abdullah] I was sorry for the humiliation suffered by the Iraqi prisoners, and the humiliation suffered by their families. I told him I was equally sorry that people who have been seeing those pictures didn't understand the true nature and heart of America."

It is a rare thing, but not unprecedented, for the president of the United States to apologize for the nation's lapses in the realm of human rights. In March of 1998, during a visit to Africa, President Clinton issued two apologies for America's failings. In Uganda, he apologized for American involvement in the slave trade: "Going back to the time before we were even a nation, European Americans received the fruits of the slave trade. And we were wrong in that." During a brief stop in Kigali, Rwanda, he apologized for the international community's failure to respond to the 1994 genocide in that country:

The international community, together with nations in Africa, must bear its share of responsibility for this tragedy, as well. We did not act quickly enough after the killing began. We should not have allowed the refugee camps to become safe haven for the killers. We did not immediately call these crimes by their rightful name: genocide.

He said, "It may seem strange to you here, but all over the world there were people like me sitting in offices, day after day after day, who did not fully appreciate the depth and the speed with which you were being engulfed by this unimaginable terror." The apology was widely criticized for the false impression it conveyed concerning the limits of the outside world's knowledge of what was happening in Rwanda.

(Last year, during a visit to Rwanda as a private citizen, Clinton visited a memorial to the victims of the genocide where he was somewhat more direct in his apology, saying, "I express regret for my personal failure.")

In March of 1999, during a trip to Central America, President Clinton apologized for the United States' support for Guatemala's brutal military regime, which killed approximately 200,000 people during a civil war that lasted 36 years. "It is important that I state clearly that support for military forces or intelligence units which engaged in violent and widespread repression of the kind described in the report [of the UN's Historical Clarification Commission] was wrong," he said. "And the United States must not repeat that mistake. We must, and we will, instead continue to support the peace and reconciliation process in Guatemala."

Apologies for human rights abuses are always controversial, first because they require acknowledging wrongdoing. Furthermore, some will regard an apology as a poor substitute for justice while others will consider an apology to be beneath the dignity of a world power. Those who believe that moral norms for states differ from those for individuals will generally think that apologies are uniquely suited to interpersonal relations.

Notwithstanding the problems they may pose, apologies can help states, as well as individuals, escape a painful past. When a nation fails to acknowledge its mistakes, it may be because it has "illusions of righteousness," a condition that often prompts additional mistakes.

*****

For more on the subject of apologies and foreign policy, see Mark Gibney and Erik Roxstrom, "The Status of State Apologies," Human Rights Quarterly 23 (November 2001): 911-39. [Available via the Project Muse database from subscribing libraries.] Also, former ambassador Robert A. Seiple has an essay on "Confessional Foreign Policy" here.

[Thanks to David Higa for research related to this post.]

Saturday, May 06, 2006

MFS2: The Zone of Democracy

Musings on Failed States, Part 2

I suggested in my first set of musings on failed states that our collective failure to render adequate assistance to New Orleans might be linked to an ideology that tends to be skeptical of government's ability to do good things and do them effectively and that all of this might somehow be related to the problem of failed states. At this point, I consider this formulation of the New Orleans issue a "provocation," that is, an idea that might or might not be worth holding onto but that is at least plausible enough (and controversial enough) to force me (and maybe others) to think it through. So I want to begin thinking through it, but first I want to situate it. And here it might help to think horizontally.

Get up off the floor. That's not what I meant.

The more my graduate school experiences recede into the past, the more I seem to become aware of my debts to certain mentors. My chief debts, intellectual and otherwise, are owed to Inis Claude at the University of Virginia.

Professor Claude occasionally spoke of the benefits of horizontal thinking. Our tendency, he said, is to categorize most things. Doing so requires drawing vertical lines between categories, or "thinking vertically." Here's a simple example:

PEACE / WAR

Horizontal thinking, in contrast, recognizes the many gradations between the absolutes of the categories we tend to create with vertical thinking. A more nuanced understanding of the difference between peace and war, therefore, might yield something like this:

PEACE------PROTEST------RIOT-------INSURRECTION----WAR
<----------------------------------------------------------------------->

It's a simple idea, but then the most useful ideas usually are.

So, if we're to think horizontally about the problem of failed states, what should our horizontal line--our spectrum of possibilities--help us to map? I want to suggest "control."

Hobbes argued that the basic purpose of government--of his Leviathan--is to rescue humankind from the insecurity associated with the state of nature, the condition in which "the life of man [is] solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short." Government does this by imposing order, that is, by exercising control over all who might threaten the lives and well-being of those living under its authority. This is a necessary condition for human flourishing. It is, of course, a condition absent in failed states.

Government control to provide safety from rapacious neighbors and foreign enemies is not a sufficient condition for human flourishing, however. Governments can, and often do, exercise too much control. So the challenge is how to have enough government (control) without having too much government (control). One of the manifestations of this challenge is the tradeoff–all too familiar to Americans since 9/11–between freedom and security.

Thinking horizontally about control gives us something like this:

<----------------------------------------------------------------------------->
No Control------------------------------------------------------Total Control

On the left side is anarchy; on the right, totalitarianism. Sierra Leone in the 1990s and Somalia for most of the last two decades would fall close to the left end of the spectrum; North Korea would fall closer to the right end than any country in the world today (although certain kleptocracies of Central Asia or Islamic theocracies of the Middle East might also fall toward the totalitarian end of the spectrum).

Most people would rather not live in Somalia or in North Korea. Instead, we prefer control within limits, or controlled control. We like "law and order," but we want law to apply to those who govern as well as to those over whom they govern. The "rights revolution" is, in large measure, what we have come to rely on for limits on the measures governments may take to impose order. Jefferson, in fact, put the limitations imposed by rights first when he declared that "governments are instituted among men" in order "to secure these rights." Governments that both "insure domestic tranquility" and "secure these rights" (if I may combine phrases from the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence) fall somewhere in the middle of our spectrum of control. They fall, in fact, in what I would like to call the "zone of democracy."

/--- The Zone of Democracy ---/
<------------------------------------------------------------------------------->
Failed States----------------------------------------Totalitarian Regimes

It's important to note that human rights (at least the full range of human rights) cannot exist at either end of the spectrum. Excessive control by the state tramples human rights while the absence of order makes it impossible for individuals to exercise most rights. The "zone of democracy," in other words, is equally the "zone of human rights."

Within the zone of democracy, there is a wide range of possible answers to the question of how we manage the tradeoff between order and liberty. Libertarians prefer to eliminate government control over as much as possible; social democrats prefer to eliminate as much social and economic insecurity as possible. Libertarians are more willing than social democrats to see some people fall through the cracks; social democrats are more willing to tolerate the fact that some people fail to exercise individual responsibility.

Much of democratic politics is about the debate over where, within the zone of democracy, the line dividing government responsibility and individual responsibility should be drawn. But, because political debates generally revolve around specific policies rather than general principles, the line may be drawn in different places on different issues. For example, the government may take great responsibility for protecting its citizens against terrorist threats while accepting little responsibility for protecting its citizens against a variety of threats posed by nature. Sometimes the location of the line separating government responsibility from individual responsibility may have far more to do with political considerations than with philosophical considerations. Presidents, ever conscious of the Electoral College, are far more likely to tell South Dakotans than Floridians that they must not look to the federal government for assistance.

The impact of these (and many other) calculations may result in "pockets of failure" (to use a term employed by Foreign Policy magazine, or localized state failure, within what, on the whole, appears to be a well-functioning state. So, although the United States isn't a failed state by any stretch of the imagination, you might have reason to wonder if you had spent the last seven months in New Orleans' Ninth Ward with no contact with the outside world. You might also have reason to wonder if, like some of my students, you had spent your spring break working with those who are homeless in downtown Detroit.

State failure is generally a consequence of a government's lack of capacity to exercise control (over violence, poverty, disease, etc.), but a government's lack of will to exercise control can lead to the same end. The failure of the Sudanese government to control the Janjaweed militias that have been driving the people of Darfur from their homes is a lack of will, not a lack of capacity. The failure of neighboring Uganda's government to protect the Acholi people of northern Uganda from the violence of the Lord's Resistance Army appears to result from a lack of will rather than a lack of capacity. Perhaps failed states and collapsed states are generally the consequences of the inability of a government to exercise control, but weak states--those just a step away from failure--and localized state failure are often the result of deliberate policies.

Thursday, May 04, 2006

AIDS and the Pope

Former Catholic priest and current Boston Globe columnist James Carroll argues for a change in Catholic teaching on the use of condoms to prevent the spread of HIV/AIDS from one spouse to another. Carroll sums up the problem with the Catholic position in these terms:

The consequences of this Catholic mistake have been catastrophic. Cultural prejudice against condoms, often widespread, has been reinforced. Women for whom condoms can be a crucial protection and a method of self-assertion have been kept at risk and disempowered. Priests, nuns, and the few bishops who denounced the condom ban have been disciplined. Catholic lay people who have been savvy enough to ignore it have been put in bad conscience. HIV/AIDS education has been equated with the promotion of promiscuity. Catholic leaders have falsely defined condoms as ineffective. Prevention of illness has been put in opposition to compassion for the sick. Homophobia has been sacralized. The Vatican's rigid adherence to this teaching in the face of monumental human suffering has been central to the broader collapse of Catholic moral authority.

But even these disasters pale beside the dominant fact of this tragedy: For more than 20 years, the hierarchy's rejection of condom use has been killing people. Even were the Vatican to change its position now--and pray it does--Catholics must still reckon with that betrayal.

See the full column here.

Double or Nothing

For those of you--I mean "us"--who didn't get to attend the White House Correspondents' Association dinner last weekend, here's a link to the video of the President's (maybe that should be Presidents') remarks.

[Thanks, Brad.]

MFS1: Introduction

Musings on Failed States, Part 1

Because there are no more exams to grade and because I’m not quite ready to jump into the summer’s big project, I want to begin a series of posts on the issue of failed states. Why? Perhaps it’s a way of making the psychological transition from failed exams (the teaching function) to nation-states (the research function). It’s a transition that can be conceptualized something like this:

FAILED exam - i - nation STATE

(Okay, I admit I got way too much sun sitting through the commencement ceremonies last Saturday.)

The real answer to the question of why I want to write about failed states is this: A couple of posts on other blogs along with a couple of comments from a reader of Swords Into Plowshares have prompted me to begin thinking about failed states in somewhat different terms than I have in the past. So, I want to do the blogging equivalent of thinking out loud with some posts I’ll label “Musings on Failed States,” or MFS for short.

By way of introduction, let me share the posts and comments I’ve been trying to tie together.

First of all, in an exchange in the comments here, a reader mentioned a preference for limited government. (Something similar appeared in another comment recently. Apparently the blog has been infiltrated by libertarians.) That would have been unremarkable (after all, some of my best really self-interested friends are libertarians) and insufficient to prompt me to think about failed states except that, at about the same time I was responding to one of the comments, I read Matthew Gross’s post (here) pointing me toward an anguished commentary on post-Katrina New Orleans by Sports Illustrated’s Peter King.

Clearly, the United States has failed New Orleans thus far. Why? One possibility--just a possibility--is that those who are most committed to the proposition that government shouldn’t do much are not likely to be very good at doing what government must do. To put it differently, you might like going to a doctor who doesn’t believe in surgery, but when you conclude that you really do need surgery, she's not likely to be the one you want to have operating on you.

But what does any of this have to do with failed states? Perhaps nothing, but our failure to render adequate assistance to New Orleans makes me wonder just how different a typical failed state would be from a libertarian’s ideal state. (Of course, there is no "typical" failed state. Perhaps there's also no "ideal" state for libertarians.) The practical differences between, say, Somalia and some imaginary laissez-faire paradise would no doubt be enormous, but I suspect (1) the theories of "governance" would not be that different and (2) the practical differences could perhaps best be explained by reference to a tipping point that separates freedom from anarchy. (This needs more elaboration, I know, but I'll come back to it in part 2 on the "Zone of Democracy.")

A more systematic (although still highly problematic) way of thinking about this issue was presented, fortuitously, by a post I read at Coming Anarchy that pointed me in the direction of the Failed States Index recently published by Foreign Policy. The Index is based on an evaluation of the instability of states in twelve areas. Here are the top--or rather, the bottom--ten states in the ranking:

  1. Sudan
  2. Democratic Republic of the Congo
  3. Ivory Coast
  4. Iraq
  5. Zimbabwe
  6. Chad
  7. Somalia
  8. Haiti
  9. Pakistan
  10. Afghanistan

(Four more Stans appear among the bottom 45 on the list. Oddly, Berserkistan is nowhere to be found.)

There's much more to explore. In addition to the "Zone of Democracy," I want to consider the role of war in prompting (or preventing) state failure. There are also human rights issues to consider. But all of that must wait for MFS2 and beyond.

Wednesday, May 03, 2006

A Petro-Political Cycle?

Ernest Wilson has an interesting piece here on what he calls the "petro-political cycle." He writes, "At the top of the petro-political cycle"--precisely where we seem to be at present--"third world suppliers can both raise the prices they charge for their petroleum, and also try to alter some of the basic rules of the game." Furthermore, "we should expect to see more political assertiveness from exporting countries." As the comments on his post indicate, his timing was impeccable given Bolivia's nationalization of its oil and gas industry on Monday, one day after Wilson's post.

IR Blogs?

It's not as if I've got a lot of spare time in which to read more blogs, but I'm interested to know what I might be missing in terms of international relations-related blogs (especially ones focused on human rights and international security broadly defined). Any suggestions?

And while we're at it, perhaps I should solicit some feedback about this blog. What should be different here--other than the opinions expressed and the photo that probably makes me look a little younger than I am? Is it time to move on from Blogger? Should I at least include a blogroll? What do you think, Ben? Dale? Mom? (I have no illusions about my readership.)

I'm not sure I'll be making changes soon, if ever, but if I do, the summer would be the time to make them.

Tuesday, May 02, 2006

Fillmore on Foreign Policy

Millard Fillmore is hardly remembered, much less quoted, these days. However, the following lines from a message to Congress on December 2, 1850, are worth noting. They concern the rights and duties of states, applying the "Golden Rule" as the pertinent standard of behavior.

The great law of morality ought to have a national as well as a personal and individual application. We should act toward other nations as we wish them to act toward us, and justice and conscience should form the rule of conduct between governments, instead of mere power, self-interest, or the desire of aggrandizement. To maintain a strict neutrality in foreign wars, to cultivate friendly relations, to reciprocate every noble and generous act, and to perform punctually and scrupulously every treaty obligation--these are the duties which we owe to other states, and by the performance of which we best entitle ourselves to like treatment from them; or, if that, in any case, be refused, we can enforce our own rights with justice and a clear conscience.

Monday, May 01, 2006

Guernica

On this date--May Day--in 1937, over a million marchers took to the streets in Paris to protest the aerial bombardment of the Basque community of Guernica four days earlier. It was this march and the attendant newspaper coverage that inspired Pablo Picasso to paint his haunting anti-war masterpiece.

(For more on the painting and its history, go here.)

Sunday, April 30, 2006

John Kenneth Galbraith (1908-2006)

John Kenneth Galbraith, described in a Boston Globe obituary as "a towering figure in American intellectual life whose astringent wit and elegant iconoclasm graced the academic and political scene for seven decades," has died at the age of 97.

Galbraith was an economist who wrote bestsellers, dabbled in politics, and advised presidents from FDR to Clinton. Under President Kennedy, he served as the United States ambassador to India.

In 1989, Galbraith said (with his customary flair), "In all life one should comfort the afflicted, but verily, also, one should afflict the comfortable, and especially when they are comfortably, contentedly, even happily wrong." It is excellent advice.

Saturday, April 29, 2006

Terrorism in 2005

Earlier this month, the National Counterterrorism Center issued its annual report on terrorist incidents. The NCTC Report on Incidents of Terrorism 2005 (available here as a PDF file) notes that there were over 11,000 terrorist incidents in 2005 resulting in over 14,500 deaths. Fifty-six Americans were killed in terrorist attacks, forty-seven of them in Iraq. (By definition, terrorist attacks are aimed at non-combatants; consequently, American soldiers killed in Iraq and Afghanistan are not included in the total.) Worldwide, approximately 80 mosques were targeted in terrorist attacks.

The top ten countries by number of fatalities in terrorist attacks for 2005 were the following:

  1. Iraq (8,299)
  2. India (1,357)
  3. Colombia (810)
  4. Afghanistan (682)
  5. Thailand (500)
  6. Nepal (462)
  7. Pakistan (338)
  8. Russia (237)
  9. Sudan (157)
  10. Dem. Rep. of the Congo (149)

Thursday, April 27, 2006

The Lesser of Two Evils

"One must remember that in choosing the lesser of two evils, one still chooses evil."

--Hannah Arendt

Wednesday, April 26, 2006

Human Trafficking: A New Study

On Monday, the UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) released a new report entitled Trafficking in Persons: Global Patterns (available here in PDF format). According to the report, there are 127 countries in which human trafficking originates, 137 countries that are destinations for human trafficking, and 98 countries that serve as transit points for trafficking. The United States is listed as one of the ten top destination countries.

Monday, April 24, 2006

Easter 1916

Ninety years ago today, Ireland's Easter Rising began. For almost a week, starting on the Monday after Easter, militant Irish republicans occupied several key buildings in Dublin and proclaimed the existence of an independent Irish Republic. Poorly organized and outgunned, the Irish revolutionaries were quickly defeated by the British. The leaders of the movement were executed or imprisoned.

In spite of the military failure of the Easter Rising, Britain's harsh reprisals stirred Irish support for independence and created an atmosphere in which it was possible for Eamon de Valera and Michael Collins to organize the War of Independence, which began in 1919.

William Butler Yeats eulogized the martyrs of the Easter Rising with a poem entitled "Easter 1916," which follows.

Easter 1916

I have met them at close of day
Coming with vivid faces
From counter or desk among grey
Eighteenth-century houses.
I have passed with a nod of the head
Or polite meaningless words,
Or have lingered awhile and said
Polite meaningless words,
And thought before I had done
Of a mocking tale or a gibe
To please a companion
Around the fire at the club,
Being certain that they and I
But lived where motley is worn:
All changed, changed utterly:
A terrible beauty is born.

That woman's days were spent
In ignorant good-will,
Her nights in argument
Until her voice grew shrill.
What voice more sweet than hers
When, young and beautiful,
She rode to harriers?
This man had kept a school
And rode our winged horse;
This other his helper and friend
Was coming into his force;
He might have won fame in the end,
So sensitive his nature seemed,
So daring and sweet his thought.
This other man I had dreamed
A drunken, vainglorious lout.
He had done most bitter wrong
To some who are near my heart,
Yet I number him in the song;
He, too, has resigned his part
In the casual comedy;
He, too, has been changed in his turn,
Transformed utterly:
A terrible beauty is born.

Hearts with one purpose alone
Through summer and winter seem
Enchanted to a stone
To trouble the living stream.
The horse that comes from the road.
The rider, the birds that range
From cloud to tumbling cloud,
Minute by minute they change;
A shadow of cloud on the stream
Changes minute by minute;
A horse-hoof slides on the brim,
And a horse plashes within it;
The long-legged moor-hens dive,
And hens to moor-cocks call;
Minute by minute they live:
The stone's in the midst of all.
Too long a sacrifice
Can make a stone of the heart.
O when may it suffice?
That is Heaven's part, our part
To murmur name upon name,
As a mother names her child
When sleep at last has come
On limbs that had run wild.
What is it but nightfall?
No, no, not night but death;
Was it needless death after all?
For England may keep faith
For all that is done and said.
We know their dream; enough
To know they dreamed and are dead;
And what if excess of love
Bewildered them till they died?
I write it out in a verse -
MacDonagh and MacBride
And Connolly and Pearse
Now and in time to be,
Wherever green is worn,
Are changed, changed utterly:
A terrible beauty is born.

Amnesty's Scorecard

Last week, Amnesty International introduced a new website providing information on the human rights records of those UN member states that have announced their candidacies for a seat on the new Human Rights Council. The site provides information on each state's human rights record, the status of its acceptance of international human rights treaty obligations, and its record of cooperation with UN treaty-monitoring bodies.

Presidential Preventive War

Historian and former presidential adviser Arthur M. Schlesinger, Jr. writes today in the Washington Post that "there is no more dangerous thing for a democracy than a foreign policy based on presidential preventive war." The essay, "Bush's Thousand Days," examines the possibility of a third war for President Bush before he leaves office.

Saturday, April 22, 2006

American Prometheus

J. Robert Oppenheimer, one of the most fascinating--and important--figures of the twentieth century, was born on this date in 1904.

Oppenheimer is best known as the "father of the atomic bomb." When the United States Government began in 1942 to consolidate its research into the possible military uses of atomic fission, an effort code-named the Manhattan Engineering District and better known as the Manhattan Project, Oppenheimer was selected by Gen. Leslie Groves to head the central laboratory at Los Alamos, New Mexico. Research and design work at Los Alamos, together with uranium enrichment efforts at Oak Ridge, Tennessee and plutonium production at Hanford, Washington, culminated in a successful test on July 16, 1945, at a location in the New Mexico desert that Oppenheimer called the Trinity site. (At the time he was asked to name the site, Oppenheimer had just read John Donne's Holy Sonnet XIV, which begins, "Batter my heart, three-person'd God.")

Earlier this week, an important new biography of Oppenheimer--American Prometheus: The Triumph and Tragedy of J. Robert Oppenheimer by Kai Bird and Martin J. Sherwin--was awarded the 2006 Pulitzer Prize for Biography.

For an excellent on-line biography of Oppenheimer, see the site created to honor the centennial of his birth by the University of California at Berkeley (where Oppenheimer taught physics before World War II). The Avalon Project at Yale Law School includes some of the documents associated with the decision of the Atomic Energy Committee to withdraw Oppenheimer's security clearance in 1954.

Another Milestone

Crude oil prices closed above the $75 per barrel mark yesterday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Traders are predicting even higher prices due to tight supply and uncertainty over Iran, the second-largest oil producer in OPEC. (For information on the relationship between crude oil prices and gasoline prices, see this Department of Energy site.)

Friday, April 21, 2006

Thursday, April 20, 2006

China's Organ Trade

My brother's business is spreading violence among schoolchildren all over North Texas. (Did I say violence? I meant violins.) He imports the instruments from the People's Republic of China.

China's violin trade, however, is quite different from its organ trade. It's the latter that has been the subject of scrutiny by doctors and human rights activists.

The British Transplantation Society has issued a report condemning China for the sale of human organs taken from the bodies of executed prisoners according to The Guardian. A statement [Word document] issued by the organization of surgeons said that "an accumulating body of evidence suggests that the organs of executed prisoners are being removed for transplantation without the prior consent of either the prisoner or their family."

Transplants in China, said to range in cost from $62,000 for a kidney to $140,000 for a heart, are apparently attracting Japanese, Korean, and Chinese-American patients unable or unwilling to wait for organ donations. The China International Transplantation Network Assistance Center advertises services geared toward foreign patients with an English-language web site that states, "Viscera providers can be found immediately!"

Moisés Naím's Illicit: How Smugglers, Traffickers, and Copycats Are Hijacking the Global Economy addresses the trade in human organs in the context of trafficking in "niche" products such as art works, endangered species, and hazardous wastes. On the organ trade in China, Naím writes,

Prisoners have been used for organ supply under dictatorships at various times in Argentina, Brazil, and Taiwan. Today the Chinese prison system is a major supplier of organs for both the domestic and international market. On Hainan Island an intermediary offered a bulk deal to the activist Harry Wu, who was working undercover: fifty prisoners' organs over a year, at prices ranging from $5,000 for a pair of corneas to $25,000 for a liver. In another case, a doctor reported witnessing both kidneys being extracted from a still-living prisoner due to be executed the next morning. The proceeds of prison organ harvesting go to the authorities. Some researchers suspect that the lucrative organs market is one additional reason that China has broadened the range of capital offenses: more executions mean more profit. (p. 162)

Incidentally, President Bush hosted President Hu Jintao of China at the White House today.

Tuesday, April 18, 2006

Kristof's Pulitzer

The 2006 Pulitzer Prize winners were announced yesterday. New York Times foreign affairs columnist Nicholas Kristof, who has probably done more than any other person to try to get Americans to care about genocide in Sudan, won the prize for commentary. The citation reads:

For distinguished commentary, in print or in print and online, Ten thousand dollars ($10,000).

Awarded to Nicholas D. Kristof of The New York Times for his graphic, deeply reported columns that, at personal risk, focused attention on genocide in Darfur and that gave voice to the voiceless in other parts of the world.

With his wife, Sheryl WuDunn, Kristof won a Pulitzer Prize in 1990 for reporting on the Tiananmen Square demonstrations in Beijing.

War with Iran?

Will the United States go after suspected nuclear facilities in Iran? Ivo Daalder concludes that the Bush administration faces many more obstacles to a war with Iran in 2006 than to a war with Iraq in 2003. But he acknowledges that there are no guarantees with Bush, because "good arguments, huge potential costs, and the absence of political and international support have never been decisive in his calculations."

Monday, April 17, 2006

Carroll on Iran Policy

The end-of-the-semester grading crunch is making it difficult to post much this week, but let me recommend James Carroll's column in today's Boston Globe.

Sunday, April 16, 2006

Pardoning Rumsfeld?

Former U.N. ambassador Richard Holbrooke examines the revolt of the generals and says Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld must go:

The major reason the nation needs a new defense secretary is far more urgent [than accountability alone]. Put simply, the failed strategies in Iraq and Afghanistan cannot be fixed as long as Rumsfeld remains at the epicenter of the chain of command.

Notwithstanding President Bush's recent vote of confidence for his embattled SecDef (something along the lines of "You're doing a fine job, Rummy!"), Yale Law professor Jack Balkin thinks the only question now is whether Bush will send Rumsfeld out with a presidential pardon.

Friday, April 14, 2006

Text Messaging Crackdown

According to The Guardian, Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad recently received a misdirected text message containing a joke suggesting Iran's leader might need to bathe more often. The dissident web site Rooz Online reports that the head of Iran's mobile telephone service has been fired and four people have been arrested as a result of the incident.

For a sampling of jokes making the rounds in Iran, see Robert Tait's story in The Guardian.

Thursday, April 13, 2006

William Sloane Coffin Jr. (1924-2006)

William Sloane Coffin Jr., a minister and social activist, died yesterday. Rev. Coffin was a Freedom Rider in the early 1960s, an outspoken opponent of the Vietnam War while serving as chaplain at Yale University, and an advocate of nuclear arms control while serving as the senior minister of the Riverside Church in New York City. He was also the model for Rev. Sloan in Gary Trudeau's comic strip, "Doonesbury." Rev. Coffin described his frequent dissent from the policies of the United States government as a "lovers' quarrel."

On June 1, 2002, Rev. Coffin said, "President Bush rightly spoke of an 'axis of evil.' But it is not Iran, Iraq and North Korea. Here is a more likely trio calling for herculean efforts to defeat: environmental degradation, pandemic poverty and a world awash with weapons."

In a sermon once he said: "The world is too dangerous for anything but truth and too small for anything but love."

And then there's this line: "No nation, ours or any other, is well served by illusions of righteousness. All nations make decisions based on self-interest and then defend them in the name of morality."

Rev. Coffin's obituary in the New York Times is available here. For a 2004 interview conducted by Bill Moyers, go here.

Tuesday, April 11, 2006

Franz Jägerstätter

Franz Jägerstätter was someone who possessed the extraordinary courage necessary to resist the "banality of evil" of which Hannah Arendt wrote in her account of the Eichmann trial.

An Austrian farmer, Jägerstätter was the only person in his village to vote against the Anschluss--Hitler's annexation of Austria--in 1938. In 1939, he was drafted into the German army but refused to serve. As a consequence, he was imprisoned, first in Linz and then in Berlin. On August 9, 1943, he was beheaded for his defiance of the Nazi regime.

The pacifist scholar Gordon Zahn brought Jägerstätter's story to light in 1968 in a book entitled In Solitary Witness: The Life and Death of Franz Jägerstätter. It is said that Daniel Ellsberg read the book and was inspired to leak the Pentagon Papers to a reporter in hopes of hastening the end of the Vietnam War.

Currently on stage at the Mark Taper Forum in Los Angeles is the English version of a powerful play by Israeli writer Joshua Sobol recounting Jägerstätter's final days. The play--iWitness--raises the same kinds of questions about conscience and authority that Sophocles' Antigone raises. It is well worth seeing.

Jägerstätter's basis for resisting authority is summed up in this statement from one of his letters from prison: "For what purpose, then, did God endow all men with reason and free will if, in spite of this, we are obliged to render blind obedience?"

Eichmann in Jerusalem

On this date in 1961, the trial of Adolf Eichmann began in Jerusalem. Eichmann, who had been abducted by Israeli agents from Argentina the previous May, was tried for war crimes and crimes against humanity based on his role in Nazi Germany's campaign to exterminate the Jews.

Eichmann was convicted on all charges in December 1961. In May 1962, he was hanged.

Hannah Arendt published an account of the trial in a series of New Yorker articles later collected in a book entitled Eichmann in Jerusalem: A Report on the Banality of Evil. Arendt described Eichmann as a follower, "a leaf in the whirlwind of time." For this reason--Eichmann's ordinariness--Arendt wrote in the end of "the lesson that this long course in human wickedness had taught us—the lesson of the fearsome, word-and-thought-defying banality of evil."

Great crimes, Arendt argued, can arise out of the ordinary impulses of people and can be resisted only by acts of extraordinary courage.

Monday, April 10, 2006

Against "Christian Politics"

There are many unanswered questions in the essay (e.g., What does it mean to be the "salt of the earth"?), but Garry Wills--a Catholic, a historian, and a social critic--provides considerable food for thought in this op-ed published in yesterday's New York Times.

Friday, April 07, 2006

The Diplomat's Dilemma

"A Foreign Secretary is always faced with this cruel dilemma. Nothing he can say can do very much good, and almost anything he may say may do a great deal of harm. Anything he says that is not obvious is dangerous; whatever is not trite is risky. He is forever poised between the cliche and the indiscretion."

--Harold Macmillan, Foreign Secretary (and later Prime Minister) of the United Kingdom, 1955

Wednesday, April 05, 2006

Petro-Imperialism

Kevin Phillips, the former Republican strategist who helped Richard Nixon win the presidency in 1968, is not happy with the Bush Administration's energy policy. In fact, part of his critique in his newest book, American Theocracy: The Peril and Politics of Radical Religion, Oil, and Borrowed Money in the 21st Century, echoes the critique offered by Michael Klare in Blood and Oil: The Dangers and Consequences of America's Growing Dependency on Imported Petroleum. Phillips writes (p. 78):

Old-fashioned colonialists, regal and unembarrassed, took physical control of territories, sent in ostrich-plumed governors, minted coins, and printed local postage stamps on which kings or queens gazed proudly over scenes of natives cutting cocoa pods or harvesting tea. By contrast, petro-imperialism--the key aspect of which is the U.S. military’s transformation into a global oil-protection force--puts up a democratic facade, emphasizes freedom of the seas (or pipeline routes), and seeks to secure, protect, drill, and ship oil, not administer everyday affairs. Still, the way in which the United States has begun to organize its national security and military posture around oil is hardly new in spirit, albeit unprecedented in scope.

Yesterday's radical critique has become today's conventional wisdom. Even President Bush has now acknowledged (in the State of the Union address) the dangers of being "addicted to oil."

Tuesday, April 04, 2006

Losing a Continent

The BBC's Gavin Esler writes:

It is one of the most important and yet largely untold stories of our world in 2006. George W. Bush has lost Latin America.

While the Bush administration has been fighting wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, relations between the United States and the countries of Latin America have become a festering sore--the worst for years.

Virtually anyone paying attention to events in Venezuela and Nicaragua in the north to Peru and Bolivia further south, plus in different ways Mexico, Argentina and Brazil, comes to the same conclusion: there is a wave of profound anti-American feeling stretching from the Texas border to the Antarctic.

And almost everyone believes it will get worse.

It's difficult to identify any place in the world where the foreign policy of the current administration has improved American standing.

Preemptive vs. Preventive War

Former senator Gary Hart has recently published a book on international security entitled The Shield and the Cloak: The Security of the Commons. It makes many of the same points that Dan Caldwell and I make in Seeking Security in an Insecure World, but it focuses more specifically on the security policies of the current administration than Seeking Security does.

Hart writes the following on the distinction between preemptive and preventive war, a topic I took up here many months ago:

Dependence on an ancient right to preemptively forestall an imminent attack is based on several conditions. The first is that we can know when an attack is being prepared. The second is that we can distinguish between a theoretically possible attack and an attack that is threatened imminently. If it is the first, as was not the case in Iraq, then a first strike is not preemptive, it is preventive, an entirely different and considerably more dangerous doctrine. In either case, highly reliable intelligence is required to know which states have weapons of mass destruction and the ability to deliver them and which states have those weapons, the means to deliver them, and the intent to do so within a reasonably foreseeable time period. (63)

The distinction between preemptive and preventive war is one we need consider more carefully in the context of Iran than we did in the context of Iraq.

Monday, April 03, 2006

Taylor's Plea

Former Liberian president Charles Taylor, on trial for war crimes, entered a not guilty plea today in his initial hearing before the Special Court for Sierra Leone. Taylor is charged with recruiting rebels in Sierra Leone's devastating civil war. The war, which ended in 2002, resulted in the deaths of 50,000 people and the maiming of thousands more.

Dueling Delusions

Steve Coll, author of Ghost Wars: The Secret History of the CIA, Afghanistan, and Bin Laden, from the Soviet Invasion to September 10, 2001, has a brief essay in the New Yorker that surveys the Iraq delusion. It draws on the recently published Cobra II by Michael Gordon and Lieutenant General Bernard Trainor and a U.S. Joint Forces Command study of decision-making in Saddam Hussein's Iraq to demolish whatever beliefs might remain that the Bush Administration got something--anything--right with respect to Iraq.

It's a short piece, so go read it. Meanwhile, here's a brief excerpt that illustrates one of the many tragic mistakes of this war:

As for weapons of mass destruction, there were none, but Saddam could not bring himself to admit it, because he feared a loss of prestige and, in particular, that Iran might take advantage of his weakness—a conclusion also sketched earlier by the C.I.A.-supervised Iraq Survey Group. He did not tell even his most senior generals that he had no W.M.D. until just before the invasion. They were appalled, and some thought he might be lying, because, they later told their interrogators, the American government insisted that Iraq did have such weapons. Saddam "found it impossible to abandon the illusion of having W.M.D.," the study says. The Bush war cabinet, of course, clung to the same illusion, and a kind of mutually reinforcing trance took hold between the two leaderships as the invasion neared.

This, in part, is why wars of choice are wrong.

[Via Talking Points Memo.]

Justice, Samoan Style

Can anyone explain to me why Samoa--the Independent State of Samoa (formerly Western Samoa), not the not-so-independent American Samoa--seems to be favored by those who elect judges to serve on international courts? Tuiloma Neroni Slade of Samoa was one of the original judges elected to serve on the International Criminal Court. (He is, however, no longer on the Court.) The presiding judge of Trial Chamber II of the Special Court for Sierra Leone is Richard Lussick of Samoa.

In spite of the fact that international justice is a growth industry, there are not that many positions available for international court judges: fifteen spots on the International Court of Justice, eighteen on the ICC, eleven on the Special Court for Sierra Leone, sixteen permanent judges and nine ad litem judges on both the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia and the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda. That equals ninety-four. We could throw in a few more for various regional courts, but we're still talking about a pretty small number. And yet, until January of this year, two of whatever that small total is were from Samoa, a country with a population approximately equal to that of Reno, Nevada or Knoxville, Tennessee.

And while we're on the topic of Samoa, can anyone tell me (1) why the caramel/chocolate Girl Scout cookies used to be called "Samoas" and (2) why they're not anymore?

Sunday, April 02, 2006

General Jaruzelski

In 1980, a major crack appeared in the facade of Soviet-style communism when an independent labor union called Solidarity was established in Poland. Solidarity challenged from within the fiction that the states of Eastern Europe were workers' paradises.

As Solidarity's membership grew to over 10 million, the Polish government led by General Wojciech Jaruzelski decided to crack down. In December 1981, martial law was imposed and Solidarity's leaders were arrested.

Last week, Poland's Institute of National Remembrance, a body responsible for investigating human rights abuses under Nazi occupation and communist rule, filed charges against Jaruzelski for his actions in the period from March 27, 1981 to December 31, 1982.

As the Russian poet Yevgeny Yevtushenko said, "Justice is like a train that is nearly always late."

[Update: There are several books on justice and reconciliation that deserve a mention here. The Healing of Nations: The Promise and Limits of Political Forgiveness by Mark Amstutz is an excellent scholarly study of what happens (or at least what should happen) in the aftermath of serious human rights abuses. Two journalistic treatments--one focused on Latin America and one focused on Eastern Europe--that are a bit dated but nonetheless quite helpful are Lawrence Wechsler's A Miracle, a Universe: Settling Accounts with Torturers and Tina Rosenberg's The Haunted Land: Facing Europe's Ghosts After Communism.]